Chat: Alejandro Bermeo: I am Alejandro Bermeo, advisor to the Ecuadorian delegation Mip: Welcome aprana this chat, let's wait a while for other guests to in, does anybody else wishe to introduce themselves? Osvaldo Canziani: Before starting to discuss the matter, I would like to recall that climate change is a process with some particular characteristics in its global, transnational, and regional differences, being a tendency not a simple event.
In these terms, the average parana chat conditions on Earth would change in a permanent way introducing a host paraa impacts on natural systems, human-managed systems, health, infrastructure, etc. Science has developed global models which have allowed for projections of temperature and sea level pqrana ranging from 1 to 3,5 degrees centigrade and 25 to 95 cm, by the year The analysis of data registered paranaa the last century show that, on average, the Earth's surface temperature has risen by 0.
Similar analyses on a regional level show parana chat differentiated heating, with higher temperatures in lower latitudes. Publications have indicated that in the Antartic Peninsula the rise has been in the region of four degrees.
Similar analyses and projections have been made in regard to precipitation with large differences paranq will be analysed in coming comments. Now, I feel the arena is opened for your contributions and questions. Another of climate change can be seen in the reduction in size of the glaciers in the Ecuadorian Andes, and this is being studied tly by Orstom of France and the National Polytechnic University. This is why we must be forewarned in the face of this type of events.
Another important aspect, which unfortunately is not taken into consideration, especially in countries like Ecuador, especially in the tropical zone, is praana people to really recognise what is meant by climate change Osvaldo Canziani: Regarding Dr Bermeo's comment, IPCC indicated in its Second Assessment Report that glaciers would practically disappear during the next century.
However, the glaciers in Patagonia will remain parana chat the end of the 21st Century Vivanco: Sorry, what's the paraja for this parana chat
Wasn't Bob Watson announced for today? Alejandro Bermeo: The issue under discussion is climate change Osvaldo Canziani: Yes, especially the regional impacts parana chat climate change. Would you like to ask a question?
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Alejandro Bermeo: The issue of climate change is parana chat broad, but we could for example speak of rainfall, or how environmental temperatures are progressing, or how the agricultural processes will be affected, of national reports etc. Osvaldo Canziani: Regarding precipitation, the problem parana chat quite important due to the limited fresh water resources available in the world.
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Alejandro Bermeo: And as for precipitations, there are zones which will have increased rainfall, but unfortunately, in zones which already suffering the desertification process, precipitation will reduce even further. Sergio Romero: Other glaciers provide drinkable water to the cjat of La Paz, and they show a decline in their ice mass.
Alejandro Bermeo: Ecuador is at the moment generating an internal process precisely to be able to define the mechanisms which permit us paranaa only to conserve the native forests, but also to generate forests to sequester CO2 and after a certain period of management be commercial and profitable. In Ecuador we are carrying out a study of climate change and coastal resources, and we hope to have the by the end of the year, but available data speak of increases in sea level which parana chat reach up to 1 metre if climatic processes continue as at present.
Vulnerability studies developed in Bolivia are parana chat that show us some trends. Vivanco: Would you be putting native species where they used to be, or breaking into virgin land? Publications have indicated that in the Antartic Peninsula the rise has been in the region of four degrees.
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